Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.168481 0.189815 0.212235 0.237499 0.265118 0.294341 0.327543
2025-03-30 0.139495 0.168214 0.199999 0.237596 0.280661 0.328250 0.384612
2025-04-06 0.118326 0.151509 0.189926 0.237288 0.293684 0.358256 0.437321
2025-04-13 0.101829 0.137774 0.181126 0.236578 0.304883 0.385510 0.487050
2025-04-20 0.090362 0.128557 0.176352 0.239512 0.319645 0.416737 0.541963
2025-04-27 0.082495 0.122846 0.175042 0.246038 0.338463 0.453000 0.603757
2025-05-04 0.073917 0.115142 0.170226 0.247262 0.350038 0.480123 0.654610
2025-05-11 0.068129 0.110578 0.168985 0.252717 0.366863 0.514029 0.714673
2025-05-18 0.063468 0.107073 0.168735 0.259175 0.384913 0.549747 0.777786
2025-05-25 0.056960 0.100156 0.163037 0.257502 0.391540 0.570287 0.821289
2025-06-01 0.051639 0.094486 0.158612 0.257141 0.399630 0.592672 0.867478
2025-06-08 0.046795 0.089069 0.154080 0.256182 0.406558 0.613378 0.911631
2025-06-15 0.043856 0.086584 0.153953 0.261883 0.423477 0.648735 0.977327
2025-06-22 0.039871 0.081940 0.150101 0.261664 0.431654 0.672017 1.026905
2025-06-29 0.036245 0.077539 0.146270 0.261151 0.439203 0.694443 1.075677
2025-07-06 0.032930 0.073337 0.142417 0.260285 0.446017 0.715818 1.123300
2025-07-13 0.030662 0.070825 0.141162 0.263398 0.458849 0.746087 1.184124
2025-07-20 0.029252 0.069797 0.142325 0.270407 0.477821 0.785706 1.259147
2025-07-27 0.027044 0.066971 0.140141 0.271711 0.487812 0.812184 1.315582
2025-08-03 0.025710 0.065763 0.140712 0.277583 0.505120 0.849889 1.389096
2025-08-10 0.024623 0.064954 0.141925 0.284539 0.524298 0.890764 1.468010
2025-08-17 0.022448 0.061594 0.138195 0.282732 0.529150 0.909890 1.514930
2025-08-24 0.020645 0.058840 0.135390 0.282342 0.536197 0.932415 1.567238